Michael Dettinger

HYDROLOGICAL & CLIMATOLOGICAL TOOLS & FORECASTS

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2023

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• "A multidisciplinary training opportunity for the next generation of Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO) collaborators—The 2022 FIRO Colloquium at Scripps Institution of Oceanography," by Cobb et al., Bulletin of American Meteorological Society.

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2021

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• "Planning & scoping a Tahoe Climate Center," by Alex et al., April 2021

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• "Lake Mendocino Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Final Viability Assessment," by Jasperse et al., February 2021

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• "Techniques for constructing climate scenarios for stress test applications," by Albano et al., Climatic Change, 2021.

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2017

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• "Preliminary Viability Assessment of Lake Mendocino forecast-informed reservoir operations," by FIRO Steering Committee.

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2015

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• "On critiques of 'Stationarity is Dead--Whither Water Management?'," by Milly et al., 2015, Water Resources Research.

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• "Perspectives and guidance for climate change analysis," by the California Department of Water Resources Climate Change Technical Advisory Group, 2015, California DWR report.

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2014

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• "A vision for future observations for western US extreme precipitation and flooding," by Ralph et al., 2014, Journal of Contemporary Water Research and Education.

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• "Planning for the atmospheric river threat," by Dettinger and Cox, 2014, The Buzz (Quarterly Newsletter of the USACE Silver Jackets Program.

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2012

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• "A 21st Century observing network for California," by White, Anderson, Dettinger, Ralph, Hinojosa, and Cayan, 2012, 16th Annual Symposium on the Advancement of Boundary Layer Remote Sensing.

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• "21st Century Western Observing System for Extreme Precipitation," Western States Water Council brochure, 2012.

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2010

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• "An advanced monitoring network in support of the FloodER Program," by Anderson, Ericson, Dettinger, Cayan & Schneider, California Flood Safe Report, 2010. 

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• "Assessment of extreme quantitative precipitation forecasts and development of regional extreme event thresholds using data from HMT-2006 and COOP Observers," by Ralph, Sukovich, Reynolds, Dettinger, Weagle, Clark, and Neiman, 2010, Journal of Hydrometeorology.

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• "The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in Caifornia," by Maurer, Hidalgo, Das, Dettinger and Cayan, 2010, Hydrology and Earth Systems Science, 2010.

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• "Providing seasonal-to-interannual climate information for risk management and decision making," by Goddard, Aitchellouche, Baethgen, Dettinger, Graham, Hayman, Kadi, Martinez, Meinke, and Conrad, 2010, Procedia Environmental Sciences.

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2009

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• "Forecasting the combined effects of urbanization and climate change on stream ecosystems--From impacts to management options," by Nelson, Palmer, Pizzuto, Moglen, Angermeier, Hilderbrand, Dettinger, and Hayhoe, 2009, Journal of Applied Ecology.

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2008

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• "A description and evaluation of hydrologic and climate forecast and data products that support decision-making for water resources managers", by Mantua, Dettinger, Pagano, Wood, Redmond and Restrepo, 2008, Chapter 2 in "Decision-support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data--A focus on water rsources (US CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3, Bellter-Simms, Ingram, Feldman, Mantua, Jacobs, and Waples, eds.)," full report (6.5 Mb, 208 pages).

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• "CASCaDE climate change scenarios--Methods and availability," by Dettinger, Cayan, and Hidalgo, 2008, Poster for 2008 CALFED Science Conference.

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• "Downscaling with constructed analogues--Daily precipitation and temperature fields over the United States," by Hidalgo, Dettinger, and Cayan, 2008, California Energy Commission PIER report.

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2006

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• "A component-resampling approach for estimating probability distributions from small forecast ensembles," by Dettinger, Climatic Change, 2006.

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2005

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• "Implementing a US National Phenology Network," by Betancourt, Schwartz, Breschears, Cayan, Dettinger, Inouye, Post, and Reed, Eos, 20 December 2005.

 

2004

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• "Hydrologic scales, cloud variablity, remote sensing, and models--Implications for forecasting snowmelt and streamflow," Simpson, Dettinger, Gehrke, McIntire, and Hufford, Weather and Forecasting, 2004.

 

2003

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• "Meteorology and hydrology in Yosemite National Park: A sensor network application," by Jessica Lundquist, Dan Cayan, and Dettinger, ISPN Conference Proceedings, Feb 2003.

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2002

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• "Thermal evolution of snowpack at Gin Flat, Yosemite National Park," by Dettinger and Gerhke, Sierra Nevada Science Symposium, 2002, poster.

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• "Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series," by Ghil, Allen, Dettinger, Ide, Kondrashov, Mann, Robertson, Saunders, Tian, Varadi, and Yiou, Reviews of Geophysics, Jan 2002.

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• "Software expedites singular-spectrum analysis of noisy time series," by Dettinger, Ghil, Strong, Weibel, and Yiou, 1995, Eos; SSA Toolkit site at UCLA Department of Atmospheric Sciences.

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1999

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• "Snow-cover Comparison Tool," 1999 Western Snow Conference Proceedings, by Koczot and Dettinger

 

FORECASTS

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• Long-Lead Streamflow Forecast for Winter & Spring 2000 (based on anticipated La Nina conditions), published in December 1999 Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, by Dettinger, Cayan, and Redmond

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• Long-Lead Streamflow Forecast for Winter & Spring 2001 (based on anticipated neutral ENSO and negative PDO conditions), published in the September 2000 Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, by Dettinger, Cayan, McCabe and Redmond

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• Long-Lead Streamflow Forecast for Winter & Spring 2003 (expectations and, especially, uncertainties based on anticipated El Nino conditions), in the September 2002 Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, by Dettinger, Cayan, and Redmond